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The world has passed “peak child”

Hans Rosling famously coined the term “peak child” for the moment in global demographic history when the number of children stops increasing.

Hans Rosling

According to UN data, the world has now passed “peak child,” which is defined as the number of children under the age of five.

The chart shows the UN’s historical estimates and projections of the global number of children under five.

It estimates that the number of under-fives in the world peaked in 2017. Demographers expect a decades-long plateau before a more rapid decline in the second half of the century.

The “ups and downs” in this chart reflect generational effects and “baby booms” when there are large cohorts of women of reproductive age and high fertility rates.

Hans Rosling – 27 July 1948 – 7 February 2017) was a Swedish physician, academic and public speaker. He was a professor of international health at Karolinska Institute and was the co-founder and chairman of the Gapminder Foundation, which developed the Trendalyzer software system. He held presentations around the world, including several TED Talks in which he promoted the use of data (and data visualization) to explore development issues. His posthumously published book Factfulness, coauthored with his daughter-in-law Anna Rosling Rönnlund and son Ola Rosling, became an international bestseller.

About İsmail Uğural

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