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Yaşar Serpi: We expect record wheat production along with recent rainfall

Türkiye’s snowfall and rainfall this season have outperformed last year’s figures and reverted to normal seasonal levels, raising prospects of a record wheat harvest — assuming no intense heat waves occur in the upcoming period, says the president of the Ankara-based National Grain Council (UHK).

Yaşar Serpi said that climate risks last year affected the country’s grain sector, with irregular rainfall reducing yields, while insufficient rain during critical development periods led to losses of about 12.3 percent, bringing total grain output to 34.2 million tonnes in the 2024-2025 season.

“Wheat production fell 13.7 percent to 17.9 million tonnes, barley declined 25.9 percent to 6 million tonnes, rye dropped 20.9 percent to 203,000 tonnes and oats decreased 26.3 percent to 288,000 tonnes, while maize production rose 5 percent to 8.6 million tonnes,” he said.

Serpi also stated that while no major supply disruption emerged, climate risks have become a structural factor in agriculture.

“Producers in drought-prone regions shifted toward wheat and barley cultivation, with wheat planting rising by 10 percent to 15 percent in some areas,” he noted.

Serpi reminded the impact of last year’s agricultural frost on cereal and pulse crops was limited but warned producers to remain cautious in the future.

Pointing out that with wheat cultivation expanding and rainfall increasing, Serpi highlighted, “Crop yields have been positive nationwide, but stressed that temperatures in April and May will be decisive.”

“The timing of the rainfall is more important than the amount, so it is possible to have a cautious but optimistic outlook at this point,” he added…

About İsmail Uğural

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