THE GLOBAL WINDOW OF TURKISH FOOD AND AGRICULTURE The Global Window of Turkish Food and Agriculture Sector
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Press release…
October, 2026…
Extreme weather events—such as droughts, heatwaves, floods, wildfires and storms—whose frequency, duration and intensity are increasing alongside climate change, are threatening food security worldwide. A study published today by the Zero Carbon Analytics (ZCA) research group reveals how extreme weather events drive up both food inflation and general inflation.
A scientific study published in 2025 had examined 16 instances of food price rises across 18 countries between 2022 and 2024. In ZCA’s new study, the same methodology was used to analyse 12 instances occurring between 2024 and 2026. The analysis also includes an interactive map covering all 28 instances.
Key findings:
Due to a heatwave in the summer of 2026, prices of maize, courgettes, tomatoes and green beans in France rose by between 16 percent and 32 percent.
In the US, tomato prices rose by 40 percent due to the cold weather in January 2026.
Following a heatwave in Côte d’Ivoire and Ghana in February 2024, cocoa prices rose by 280 percent.
In Brazil, Arabica coffee prices rose by 55 percent following the drought in 2023.
In Ethiopia, general food prices rose by 40 percent following the drought in 2022.
Vegetable prices in the US rose by 80 percent following the drought in 2022.
The World Food Programme estimates that, due to the ongoing ‘super’ El Niño event, at least 49 million people – particularly in Central America and South Africa – will face acute food insecurity by the end of 2027. According to Goldman Sachs experts, global food commodity prices could rise by 15.8 percent; this could continue to put pressure on household budgets until the end of 2028.
As they occur during a period of unprecedented climate change, it is not easy to estimate the true scale of the risk posed by climate shocks. However, it is estimated that they have reduced global agricultural productivity growth by 21 per cent since 1961. In warmer regions such as Latin America and Africa, this figure is estimated to be between 26 and 34 percent…
